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    Next 3-4 years will be tough: DPM Tharman

    DPM Tharman singled out four strategies to keep Singaporeans afloat during financial crises. (File photo)DPM Tharman singled out four strategies to keep Singaporeans afloat during financial crises. (File photo)

    Singaporeans have to be prepared for the next three to four years as the journey may not be so smooth, cautioned Deputy Prime Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam on Saturday.

    Speaking at a grassroots National Day dinner at Bukit Batok, he added the next few years could witness slow growth and even bouts of recession in the most advanced economies.

    The tumbling of the stock market over the past week at a level not seen since 2008 has amplified the crisis of confidence in the United States, Europe and Japan.

    "When there is a crisis of confidence in these three major blocks of the world economy, everyone is affected," he was quoted as saying by The Sunday Times.

    When there is a crisis of confidence in these three major blocks of the world economy, everyone is affected DPM Tharman

    He highlighted four broad strategies which could help Singaporeans stay afloat during this troubled environment and look forward with optimism.

    These include the need for Singaporeans to keep the spirit of consensus and avoid divisiveness.

    He noted that the country needs to avoid the problems seen "vividly" in the US and Europe, where although they have mature democracies, they also possess "dysfunctional politics".

    "The debate in the US over the debt ceiling was a symptom of that -- a divided Congress unable to agree and willing to take a risk with the American economy and people."

    This, he said, is the reason why it will be of extreme importance to sustain "a tone of openness, respect and understanding" in discussions in the mainstream media and online.

    The second key point which he pointed out is that Singaporeans should continue to deal with the crisis with a spirit of fairness.

    "We come together and take care of the interests of low- and middle-income Singaporeans, and of businesses and we prepare for recovery," he added.

    "When we recover, we share prosperity, again with a sense of fairness. Those who have sacrificed more should get more, especially those with lower incomes."

    Touching on the third key factor, DPM Tharman -- who is also finance and manpower minister -- stressed that the government will continue to invest heavily in the future.

    This will ensure that the country can be a place where the people can have better lives 10 to 15 years from now. He emphasized the importance of education, especially at pre-school and tertiary levels, and of improving the transport system.

    Investing in productivity will also be a key strategy to increase the incomes of Singaporeans, he noted.

    "Many economists would point that we are ambitious with our targets to achieve, on average over 10 years, a 2 to 3 per cent increase in productivity each year.

    "This is how we will achieve an increase in Singaporeans' incomes, where the average Singaporean will see a 30 per cent increase in income in 10 years, after minusing inflation."

    Finally, he said that the public needs to continue to develop a spirit of volunteerism.

    Saying that he felt "encouraged" after more came forward to volunteer at his constituency, he added, "If we keep this up and if we keep up our policies that are aimed at helping those who are lower down on the income ladder, we can build a truly inclusive society."

    DPM Tharman, who was once touted to be the next International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief, also gave his evaluation of the all-important US economy.

    He pointed out that the country has weak fundamentals and is hardly achieving economic growth, adding that it has the potential to go into a recession.

    "It may or may not happen, we cannot tell yet. But we have to be prepared for any eventuality," he said.

     

    478 comments

    • Ghabbar Singh  •  9 months ago
      Dear Sir

      You said this..."When we recover, we share prosperity, again with a sense of fairness. Those who have sacrificed more should get more, especially those with lower incomes."

      So how is it that 8 months bonus is paid to certain individuals who are not of lower incomes? Fairness you say, I say NOT!
      • thebengman 9 months ago
        Even in recession some companies perform well and individuals that contribute should be rewarded accordingly.

        So if you work really hard and contribute to the success of your company you will be duly rewarded.
      • Winnie 9 months ago
        If you are that boss, then Thebenggman, it will be ok if you pay fiar. But sad to said, most of the bosses, even though perform well during recession, they will pay less as well. Just say economy bad. I guess you never work for local met these compaies at all. Probably living in high end yourself. Ask your dad if he has a company of his own.
      • Sensible Girl 9 months ago
        Thebengman I think your family or you owning a Company or you are holding a very good position in either Goverment or Private sector. Work hard the bosses pay more ? My foot. They will use the profit to go for expensive holidays or treat either with their family or mistresses.
    • KMK  •  9 months ago
      TT is be crucial to PAP's Machiavellian scheme to rejig the Presidential role to cover this contingency.TT is a Hegelian construct of PAP the same way that the GRC is.

      The problem with PAP is that its mission is totally misguided. Its economic policies on financial numbers as a representation of the greatest good are misguided, its economic policies on reserves and the mission of having reserves for reserves sake are misguided, its social policies on population and immigrants are misguided, its definition on what is good for Singaporeans is misguided, its policies of unbridled openess in searching for the best talent and the best resource from the rest of the world are misguided, its arrogance that Singaporeans are not good enough and Singaporeans have themselves to blame are misguided.

      It is about time that Singaporeans determine who they want to live with, it is about time that Singaporeans determine the character of our own nation and the quality of our lives. It will soon be too late when the very soul of Singapore is lost to a Faustian bargain. A social compact that PAP has crafted, not the social compact that Singaporeans wanted. We are losing our souls very fast. PAP has commercialised every facet of government policy where numbers and greed are good. They are enshrined as first principles in PAP's policies. These have now been embedded into the PAP culture: astronomical ministerial salaries, golden parachute to GLCs, casinos, foreign senior management and CEOs in Temasek, DBS etc.

      Singaporeans of all walks of life except those who walk with the MIWs, are sick of the the mantra that GDP, top foreign talents, high ministerial salaries, reserves for reserves sake are justifications for the greater good of Singaporeans. Wake up PAP! Wake up for Singaporeans' sake.
      .
      Most of the Ministers' sons and daughters are overseas studying. Emeritus Goh has the gall to call overseas Singaporeans traitors. They have millions, they have their connections, they have their overseas network, their sons and daughters have overseas education.

      Singaporeans have only themselves and Singapore to fight for. And fight we must to stop this Faustian
      • Vignesh 9 months ago
        http://www.facebook.com/notes/josephine-l-m-teo/response-to-a-fellow-singaporean-on-fare-changes/156792667728370

        Looks like the transport costs are still lower compared to 2006. But still there is a furore over the 1% increase.
        Now with this impending economic crash due to sovereign debt coming in, there was always a risk of a crash in housing prices.It is too difficult to frame policies in such periods of uncertainty.
        But a section of the singapoereans who cashed out early and missed the boom, feels left out and cursing the govt.
        If the economy hadnt recovered after the 2009 crash, the Sg govt housing policy would have been praised by the citizens. Cos they would have fallen much in price.
        Now there is a impending crash.. time for all those people to be happy at the expense of majority singaporeans.
      • Charles Yong L P 9 months ago
        @thebengman

        Its simple and direct write up.
        Perhaps PAP dogs here trying dig info and digested it. Thereafter, the dogs claimed and modify it. And later championing the issue.
        Simply stupid PAP dog....!!!!!
        What a jerk.....go get a life....!!!!!!
      • Winnie 9 months ago
        Well said Jason. Direct and straight forward. We like it.
    • Nezha 3rd prince  •  9 months ago
      If you know the next three or four years will be hard the first things you all men in white should do is ease the burden on the men in the streets, Firstly cut GST, next cut your pay or no pay since you all are getting millions in bonus when the time was good and futher more already being rich you are all paid pensions, while we wait for you to pay our CPF in instalment and still deduct GST. Are you all not afraid when the thunder strike
      • Kptan 9 months ago
        Tharman Shanmugaratnam ....................dont talk so much........go to the street and help your ah neh $12 a day................ton of them...very very cheap labourer.
        Employers and agents suching their blood.
        FIGHT FOR THEIR RIGHT:
        ( 1 ) CPF Contribution.
        ( 2 ) Minimum pay.( S$1500 --------not ministerial pay)
        ( 3 ) Overtime / 40 hours a week / annual leave.( Just like Singaporean )
        Tharman Shanmugaratnam.................you must do it...........DPM = Deputy Prime Minister ...........big fish........... millions and millions of Indians in Singapore and India will be proud of you. Speak up....
      • Nezha 3rd prince 9 months ago
        the last time thunder strike the merlion head is no fluke ,it is a warning .Don't believe on national day there 'll be thunder, if the men in white is brave enough don't run when thunder strike
      • Debbie 9 months ago
        Yeah know how to blab only about how life will be for Singaporeans for the next few years! And whose fault is that! Your papies fault! Here increase and there increase and holding back our CPF....morons!
    • Buay Song  •  9 months ago
      You want high pay and your masters say they are the bestest you can find in the world, so please do your job and overcome all diffiiculties, since you are like GODs and can do no mistakes and must be highly paid!
      That all of us are DAFT, so we pay you, you deliver, if you cannot deliver please F**ked off!
    • Huntsman  •  9 months ago
      Divisiveness shows that there are many voices, that some voices are checking other voices, that no one party tows the line and makes ALL the decisions, some of which may be detrimental to the society in the long run. One man – one vote. Our voices is what that vote represents.

      As for "dysfunctional politics", autocracy is also dysfunctional. Any government that ignores the views and opinions of its populace, that forgets that it works for the people and serves the people and the society is dysfunctional. Dysfunctional is relative and how you see it depends on your own political, economic and ideological affiliations and agenda. To some, anyone who disagrees with them or has a different opinion will be thought of as contributing to the dysfunction. Why not a compromise after negotiations? Deliberations and negotiations and comprises and NOT autocracy is the only way out of dysfunctional.

      For years, many American brought up the problems with the American economy and did the government listen or do anything? NO. The government TURNED A DEAF EAR again and again, and did whatever it wanted. This now is the outcome. BLAME BAD GOVERNANCE. BLAME AN INEPT government. Don't blame diversity of views.

      “Sustain ‘a tone of openness, respect and understanding’ in discussions in the mainstream media and online.” Who is willing to discuss, to first of all LISTEN. The frustrations on the ground are clear indications that openness is ONE WAY, respect has been for years ONE WAY and there has been no understanding thus far.

      Frankly, and please dig into your conscience, do you really “ take care of the interests of low- and middle-income Singaporeans?” Do you, really? Tokens, yes. Tokens, like those toy things we used to get when we play tikam tikem as children – tokens.

      "When we recover, we share prosperity, again with a sense of fairness. Those who have sacrificed more should get more, especially those with lower incomes." 400$ a year??? Plus transport hike, plus GST increase, plus plus ... As against what? 8 months bonus for you??? There has not been fairness for a long time so don’t even start talking about that again.

      “...DPM Tharman -- who is also finance and manpower minister -- stressed that the government will continue to invest heavily in the future............”

      Invest in what? How about more local industries too, how about trying to be more self-sufficient, building up a small alternative food source, don’t be so totally dependent on other economies. Have some spine, even if it means we don’t have a lot of annual growths for a few years. Stop investing only in other economies and losing money.

      "Investing in productivity will also be a key strate---- to increase the incomes of Singaporeans, he noted." WHAT PRODUTIVITY? WE DON’T PRODUCE MUCH.

      "Finally, he said that the public needs to continue to develop a spirit of volunteerism." YOU MEAN FREE SERVICE!!! WHY CAN’T THE GOVERNMENT PUT SOME MONEY INTO HELPING??? WHY ALWAYS VOLUNTEERS AND NGOs??? Build a truly inclusive society by volunteering??? Helloooooo, we have young children and elderly folks to care for at home!!! We are very inclusive, we take care of our responsibilities. POVERTY will make us divisive and make you exclusive!
    • SOLO  •  9 months ago
      WORLD STOCK MARKETS CRASH.................!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    • silverfreak  •  9 months ago
      I fully agree with you Mr. Tharman. But on the other hand, can we trust the play safe mentality guy who heads the transport ministry to think something out of the box to improve and improvise something that is good for the overall transportation system in Singapore. Sometimes we just need street smart people to run the job and not people who always go by the book that ensure them a safe haven.
    • Blackened And Justice For ...  •  9 months ago
      I remembered last time you said to expect 'mini shocks' and that it wont be a repeat of the 2008 fnancial crisis. Now you are saying the next 3 to 4 years would be bleak. Please make up your f***king mind.
    • John  •  9 months ago
      Dear Minister,
      Your message is not unexpected. The MM, the SM, the PM, etc will say the same thing to the people to remind us not to focus so much on issues of complaint against various government policies, but instead think about the problems of today and the potential negative economic fallout from the financial problems in Europe and America. It is true that the unpleasant events unfolding are real and we must tackle together as a nation of people with a common goal. The government must continuously demonstrate the sincerity to care for the people because the 60% electorate put you there and you declare you will be dedicated to improving our livelihood. I did not vote for PAP or Opposition because I live in TP GRC. I wish to share my layman's view of the current events.
      First of all, whose fault is it that the world is afflicted with such financial woes. Is it America who overspends that raises the woes? Is it Greece, Spain, Portugal, Italy at fault too? Not really. I feel the entire fault lies with those people who steadfastly embrace globalization as the only way to survive in this world; worships economic policies that define GROWTH as the only way to develop nations and improve the livelihood of people; promotes the sales of "innovative" and inscrutable financial investment schemes to ordinary people; etc. As a whole, I wish the world can re-examine the modern day financial planning models of most nations that speaks of only "GROWTH, GROWTH & GROWTH".
      It is funny that China's economists should comment that America must be more disciplined in managing and resolving their own financial woes. If America did not overspend, would China and Singapore have gained so much over the past two decades in terms of economic growth. Ironically, China lends money to America to spend more and obviously buys more from China. Subsequently, China records more economic growth, accummulates more money in the national reserves, lends more money to America and the cycle repeats.
      Anyway, my objective is not to debate on this subject. In view of the aforesaid vicious cycle, I only wish to ask our Minister and the government to seriously develop another direction to improve livelihood in Singapore by not depending only via the pursuit of economic growth. Please do not dismiss this as just wishful thinking. I sincerely hope a day will come when America sneezes, we do not have to catch a cold. Otherwise, imagine what will happen if America catches AIDS, what will we be infected with?
    • ...  •  9 months ago
      Before election i already know it will be tough after election. So can i be DPM?
    • sotong  •  9 months ago
      right, next 3-4 years will be tough,cause it has start increasing this and that,be'cos this is the only chance for the ruling party to do it,hoping the following year will not be any tough,if we get the other party in.
    • Patriot  •  9 months ago
      Another scare tactic to frighten us into submission. This is all too familiar, as if times are not tough enough currently. When times are bad, we have to endure pay cuts and CPF cut while costs of living escalate. When the economy recovers, our CPF doesn't get fully restored and our pay remains the same while MIWS give themselves a pat and a pay raise for 'steering' the economy out of the storm. Let's see which Singaporean who has a clear conscience would step out to refute what I have just said.
    • Anthony  •  9 months ago
      Dun worry, things will pickup by 2016, figures will be "nice", everything will be good and then, GE 2016 announced. After the GE2016, everything will turn ugly, recession will sets in. The usual game what's new.
    • A Yahoo! User  •  9 months ago
      Please Minister, don't mentioned the next 3 to 4 years will be tough. We have been going thru' a rough time for the past 15 years.
    • RAM  •  9 months ago
      REMEMBER IF GEORGE YEO CAN BE "RELOCATED" & HE HAD QUITE GOOD GROUND SUPPORT....
      WAT U THINK ABOUT YOU & OTHERS??
      I BE VERY WORRIED & PREPARE FOR RETIREMENT SOON.....
    • Chye heng Lim  •  9 months ago
      Well,the US is in "day dreaming" condition state,with a "soft" wake up call attitude.

      The rest of the world ,follow US like a fool even though they know US is broke.

      So did anything change???No it is like a credit rating from AAA to AA,and the whole world break loose like a mad lost animal.

      Come more,wake up,if you place your bet on a losing "horse" and you are conscious of doing it,why the panic???It panic because the stock market is a game.

      So when tomorrow the credit rating goes back to AAA from AA,then the whole wolrd celebrate and the stock market goes up like a magic show!!!!

      Please wake up and look at the fundamentals.Look at the ground readings.

      The US is the one that is not doing well,not the entire world,yes it is the trade dollar that everyone use.

      But what the heck,just replace yuan as the new dollar,elevate it as it is fundamentally strong and has huge capacity.The world would react strongly and comfortable with it.

      US has to stop playing "cowboy" and act like they are there for the world.
      They have no resources at all to do that anymore.
      They have no extra money to play the big brother and help out in disasters and troubles around the globe anymore.

      If any country wants help in future,please pay and contribute if there is a need to mobilise US aid.

      US should stop building warheads and its arsenal arms of weapons,they don't put food on the table for any US citizens.

      US should tighten their belts and start clearing debts.Those US millionaires and billionaires should assit in paying the debts off for their government.Apple is richer and has more money than US government .

      John F Kennedy once said" Don't ask what the country can do for you,ask what you can do for the country."

      So US people should answer the above question from their former US president.

      I know it is possible with the Japanese people mindset,they have country above self interest.

      The European crisis is actually not a crisis.They are in a better position than US many times.
      They have a huge market,fundamentally sound.
      They just have to unite and table a time table and consolidated action to work things out,it can be done.So no worries on European end.

      The question come back to Singapore.
      Do we have the mindsets to dig our way out if we are in a similar situation???
      You answer the question in your own way.

      Years ahead will not be tough if the top have a strong mindset and dare to lead and act now.
      Sitting and waiting for a resolution in your comfort zone(relying on reserves as a way out every time something happen) will only pull you into the big black hole and if someone lack guts in doing the job,please stopped pretending you know what is going on.
    • Susu Wong  •  9 months ago
      Since DPM Tharman said the next 3-4 years will tough, so makesure no more extra bonus and increment for these civil servants. Everybody will mark on that. Please say what you mean.
    • francis  •  9 months ago
      We will be hit very hard because the fundamental that causes the recession in 2008 was never resolve properly, it was only abated thanks to the expansionist policies (especially letting a property bubble formed) of the last few years. We are not stronger from the last recession in 2008, we are actually weaker…. Also in 10 years after the millions the ministers suck out into their payroll (even with the pay review, we will likely to see them earning more than what they should), would we (the majority) be better off..... time speak better than what would be coming out of these mouth. The only person that would be better off are the ministers with millions in their bank account after 1 or 2 terms in offices.
    • Sleepy  •  9 months ago
      Oh my Gd this was a bad sight...they are starting to squish us down until the last drop for the few year ahead. Very scary ..latter all things went up up up then we will become money and government slave.

      They have plan for us next few years...Oh My Gd..can we survive for next GE?
    • Mega Mind  •  9 months ago
      Please do not add further anxiety and panic to the crisis of confidence and sentiments. This is such bad timing! We already have a oversold market that is having a knee jerk reaction. You have a responsibility as a leader to highlight uncertainties but you also have the responsibility to choose the right time and offer the citizens your plan of action and active assurance. The G-20 and major countries are all talking about how to calm the market or measures...You are not a reporter or financial analyst, I respect you and your position in IMF and in our finance ministry but that comes with the responsibility of helping the economy, not adding unnecessary anxiety.

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