China data points towards economic recovery

BEIJING (Reuters) - China's official purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to a 13-month high in April, signaling the economy has found a footing and may be recovering from a first-quarter trough, but smaller factories are still struggling.

The pick-up in the PMI to 53.3 from 53.1 in March indicated a further expansion in the vast factory sector, although it was slightly below market expectations of 53.6. Readings above 50 signal expansion while those below 50 point to contraction.

The manufacturing output sub-index rose to 57.2 from 55.2 in March. However, the National Bureau of Statistics noted many important industries remained weak with index readings below 50, among them chemicals, equipment, autos and oil refining.

The improvement in manufacturing likely reflected restocking after a slow winter, said Ting Lu, an economist at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch.

He said infrastructure investment was recovering as the dust settled from a corruption scandal in the Ministry of Railroads and from bureaucratic reshuffling at the local government level.

Although new export orders edged up to 52.2 from 51.9 in March, the sub-index for all new orders slipped to 54.5 from 55.1, implying that domestic new orders remained weak.

SMALL FIRMS SQUEEZED

The PMI boosted Australian shares, but did little to move other markets where investors are concerned about a sluggish U.S. economy and the bubbling euro area debt crisis. Indeed, many markets, including those in China, are closed on Monday to mark public holidays.

Australian shares extended gains on the day to 0.5 percent after the PMI. The market had been up 0.2 percent before the figures were released.

Tight credit, especially for real estate developers and private firms, had helped push the Chinese economy to its weakest footing since the fall of 2008. But there are signs that the availability of loans is improving.

New loans in April may have reached 900 billion yuan ($140 billion), the Caijing Magazine said this weekend, citing a recent report by China International Capital Corp, or CICC. More attractive interest rates led to an acceleration in new mortgages, it added.

"Policymakers continue to grapple with the challenge of loosening enough to prevent a sharp slowdown, but not loosening too much and sparking an inflationary spiral," said Alastair Thornton, analyst at IHS Global Insight.

China's annual growth slowed to 8.1 percent in the first quarter of 2012 from 8.9 percent in the previous three months -- the fifth consecutive quarter of slowdown in the world's second-largest economy.

While large-scale manufacturers continue to report growth, small firms remain in contraction, the statistics bureau said. The tight credit conditions have disproportionately hit smaller and private companies, as reflected in a survey of smaller factories by HSBC.

The HSBC Flash PMI, the earliest indicator of China's industrial activity, showed a stabilizing economy last week. That index's reading of 49.1 for April came in below 50 for the sixth month in a row, reflecting a contraction in the factory sector, however the rate of deterioration slowed in a sign the economy may have bottomed out in the first quarter.

HSBC is due to release its final reading for April on Wednesday.

"Economic activity has started to recover but at a relatively slow pace," Capital Economics' analyst Qinwei Wang said in a note before the official data, citing an index of data the firm tracks.

(Editing by John Mair)

Loading...
  • COMMENT: A thin fine line 14 hours ago

    COMMENT The concept of sub judice contempt for ongoing court cases is an important one; it is in place to ensure that proceedings can be as objective as possible, rather than swayed by the court of … More »

  • Microsoft boss defends Xbox One price Tue, Jun 18, 2013

    Sony was E3’s big winner in large part because of the company's decision to price the PlayStation 4 at $399, a full $100 cheaper than Microsoft’s upcoming Xbox One. But the man in charge of Xbox … More »

  • Charity begins at home and in your workplace
    Charity begins at home and in your workplace Mon, Jun 17, 2013

    Photos: Government subsidised rental homes in Singapore. Mr M, 47, is a former senior sales and marketing manager at an electronics MNC for nine years before he was retrenched in 2009. Married with a … More »

  • New MDA licensing rules: Finding a way forward

    New MDA licensing rules: Finding a way forward

    New MDA licensing rules: Finding a way forward

    COMMENT More than 2 weeks since the announcement of new Internet regulations, the public is still none the wiser. Even foreigners and foreign organisations which might be affected by the new rules are still trying to understand the licensing regime. … Continue reading →

  • Singapore, Malaysia choking on haze from Indonesia

    Singapore, Malaysia choking on haze from Indonesia

    Singapore, Malaysia choking on haze from Indonesia

    Singapore urged Indonesia on Monday to take "urgent measures" to tackle its forest fires as severe air pollution blown from Sumatra island choked the densely populated city-state.

  • Singapore, Indonesia tussle over haze problem

    Singapore, Indonesia tussle over haze problem

    Singapore, Indonesia tussle over haze problem

    Smog from forest fires in Indonesia stayed at unhealthy levels in Singapore on Tuesday as the two neighbours blamed each other for the seasonal problem.

Featured Blogs

  • COMMENT The concept of sub judice contempt for ongoing court cases is an important one; it is in place to ensure that proceedings can be as objective as possible, rather than swayed by the court of public opinion. Yet in … Continue reading → …

  • Sony was E3’s big winner in large part because of the company's decision to price the PlayStation 4 at $399, a full $100 cheaper than Microsoft’s upcoming Xbox One. But the man in charge of Xbox maintains Microsoft is offering … Continue reading → …

  • Charity begins at home and in your workplace
    Charity begins at home and in your workplace

    Photos: Government subsidised rental homes in Singapore. Mr M, 47, is a former senior sales and marketing manager at an electronics MNC for nine years before he was retrenched in 2009. Married with a wife and twin teenage sons, he … Continue reading → …

  • Andrew Loh
    New MDA licensing rules: Finding a way forward

    COMMENT More than 2 weeks since the announcement of new Internet regulations, the public is still none the wiser. Even foreigners and foreign organisations which might be affected by the new rules are still trying to understand the licensing regime. … Continue reading → …

  • Husband accidentally sells wife’s $23,000 wedding ring for $10
    Husband accidentally sells wife’s $23,000 wedding ring for $10

    California woman Racquel Cloutier, 31, was in for a big surprise when she returned from the hospital on June 1 after giving birth to her fifth child. She discovered that her husband, Eric Cloutier, accidentally sold an old watch box … Continue reading → …