Democratic hopes to flip US Senate dim as red wall holds for now

Michael Mathes
·3-min read

Despite retaining the House of Representatives, the path for Democrats to flip control of the US Senate narrowed sharply early Wednesday after two key Republicans facing tough reelection battles claimed victory.

Democrats flipped two US Senate seats in western Colorado and Arizona states on Tuesday, networks projected.

But the blue wave that many Democrats predicted may have crested there, potentially falling short of the three to four seat gains they needed to take control of Congress's upper chamber.

Republicans ousted a vulnerable Democrat in Alabama, and the GOP stood their ground in other key races, often defying polls that warned how President Donald Trump could be a drag on GOP incumbents defending vulnerable Senate seats.

Senator Lindsey Graham -- under intense pressure after overseeing the controversial confirmation process of a Supreme Court justice weeks before the presidential vote -- fought back a fierce challenge from African-American Jaime Harrison in the conservative bastion of South Carolina.

"We didn't get the result at the ballot box that we wanted, but we showed courage and determination," Harrison, an African American candidate who had raised record amounts of campaign funding, said in a statement.

Republicans fared well elsewhere too, including Kentucky -- where Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell easily prevailed -- Texas and Montana.

- 'Save the Senate' -

Iowa's junior Senator Joni Ernst, a close Trump ally whom Democrats were intensely targeting, then also defeated her challenger, several US networks projected.

"We did it!" a relieved Ernst said on Twitter.

Another hotly contested seat was tilting the Republicans' way in North Carolina, where networks had yet to call the race but Senator Thom Tillis claimed a crucial win, with some 94 percent of the vote counted.

"What we accomplished tonight was a stunning victory -- and we did it against all the odds, right?" Tillis told boisterous supporters, adding that he was doing his part "to save the Senate."

Polls had shown several races tilting towards Democrats, and election forecaster FiveThirtyEight gave Democrats a three in four chance of winning Senate control.

Joe Biden's Democrats would need to gain four seats to seize the chamber -- or three seats if Biden wins the White House, as a vice president breaks a tie in the Senate in the event of a 50-50 vote.

Democrats are now eyeing Maine and Georgia as potential flips. 

But Maine's embattled Republican Senator Susan Collins was seven percentage points ahead with two-thirds of precincts reporting, and in Georgia incumbent David Perdue was leading Democrat Jon Ossoff with 90 percent of precincts reporting.

If Democrats can win one of these seats, control of the chamber could hang in the balance until a runoff in Georgia's other special election Senate race is held on January 5, 2021.

Controlling the Senate is vital as the party in power determines which bills reach the floor and which of the president's nominees receive confirmation votes.

Democrats meanwhile kept the House of Representatives, with Speaker Nancy Pelosi -- Trump's chief nemesis in Washington -- likely to preside over her flock for two more years, but it remained unclear whether Democrats could increase their majority.

Popular New York progressive Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez comfortably secured a second term, as did the three other members of "The Squad," a liberal quartet that has occasionally faced intense criticism from Trump and his allies.

"I'm very, very proud of the fact that tonight -- relatively early -- we are able to say we have held the House," Pelosi said.

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