3 Things the Stock Market Cares More About Than Who Becomes President

Here's what history tells us about what to expect from the stock market's long-term performance following the 2020 presidential election: If President Trump wins reelection, it will probably go up. Regardless of who's in office, stocks tend to underperform the first two years after an election and then deliver superb results in year three. Going all the way back to the first election in 1789, a Fidelity analysis found that four-year stock market returns have been nearly identical no matter which party is in the Oval Office: 8.6% for Republicans and 8.8% for Democrats.