SDP pullout means closer fight between WP, PAP: analysts

Game on.

That's the message from analysts Yahoo! Singapore spoke to when asked about their reaction to the Singapore Democratic Party's shock withdrawal from the Punggol race on Tuesday.

"The dynamics have certainly now changed," said political analyst and former Nominated Member of Parliament Siew Kum Hong.

"While the multi-cornered fight will still probably impact the WP's vote share, it is now much closer to a straight fight between the WP and the PAP, and Lee Li Lian has a credible chance of winning," he said.

Siew was referring to the decision earlier in the day by Singapore Democratic Alliance (SDA) to field Desmond Lim  in Punggol come Polling Day on 26 January.

While Reform Party's Kenneth Jeyaretnam has also stated he will contest in Punggol, Siew believes their participation may not skew too much from what's expected to be a contest between serious contenders People's Action Party (Koh Poh Koon) and Workers' Party (Lee Li Lian).

"SDA will almost certainly not improve on their vote share; if anything, those who had voted for them in GE2011 may vote differently this time, since they now know that SDA will not win," he said.

"RP may draw some votes, but will likely have less of an impact on voting patterns than the SDP would have had.

Fellow political observer and
Nominated Member of Parliament Eugene Tan agreed.

"SDP's pull-out does marginally improve WP's prospect of taking the seat away from the PAP. SDP was more likely to draw voters away from WP than SDA or RP," the assistant law professor at Singapore Management University told Yahoo! Singapore.

He also warned SDA's Lim and RP's Kenneth Jeyaretnam they would be "sleepwalking into a major loss -- not just in terms of vote count but in terms of the standing of the party and the candidate."

"The likelihood of them losing their electoral deposits in the process is very real too," he added.

Lim
came in third in the three-way fight for the ward in the 2011 General Election.

He came in with 4.45 per cent of the vote and was the only candidate that year to forfeit his S$16,000 election deposit.

Punggol East, a single member constituency with slightly over 31,000 voters goes to the polls on 26 Jan.


Related Articles:

SDA unveils candidate Desmond Lim
VIDEO: No 1 concern of Punggol East residents?
I don't need sympathy votes: PAP candidate
ST poll being probed by police: ELD
PAP names surgeon as Punggol East candidate
Multi-cornered by-election battle favours PAP: analysts
  • COMMENT: Xenophobia rears its ugly head in Singapore once more 17 hours ago
    COMMENT: Xenophobia rears its ugly head in Singapore once more

    Kirsten Han is a Singaporean blogger, journalist and filmmaker. She is also involved in the We Believe in Second Chances campaign for the abolishment of the death penalty. A social media junkie, she tweets at @kixes. The views expressed are … Continue reading →

  • Driving a $900,000 Porsche 918 Spyder to the future 19 hours ago
    Driving a $900,000 Porsche 918 Spyder to the future

    It’s more than just its inherent speed, or the whooshing noise that fills the cabin like a school choir jamming with James Hetfield. It’s what it represents in an industry full of skeptics. It’s a portal into the future – a time capsule left by some mad scientist born decades too soon. It’s something that shouldn’t exist. And yet it does.

  • 919 reasons to love: Flickr photo of the day 20 hours ago
    919 reasons to love: Flickr photo of the day

    We've brought you the drive video of the $900,000 Porsche 918 Spyder -- an 887-hp hybrid supercar with two electric motors working in harmony with a big 4.6-liter V-8. But how about this? Porsche's hybrid Le Mans racer -- the 919 Hybrid, sent to us by Kevin Leech. Get on board with electrification, folks. Because it's taking over the world.

  • COMMENT: Xenophobia rears its ugly head in Singapore once more
    COMMENT: Xenophobia rears its ugly head in Singapore once more

    Kirsten Han is a Singaporean blogger, journalist and filmmaker. She is also involved in the We Believe in Second Chances campaign for the abolishment of the death penalty. A social media junkie, she tweets at @kixes. The views expressed are … Continue reading →

  • Singaporeans slam NEA's $120 licence requirement for tissue sellers
    Singaporeans slam NEA's $120 licence requirement for tissue sellers

    Singaporeans on social media reacted angrily to news that tissue sellers at hawker centres and street corners are being required to pay for an annual licence.

  • Arrest warrant sought for S. Korea ferry captain
    Arrest warrant sought for S. Korea ferry captain

    South Korean prosecutors sought arrest warrants Friday for the captain and two crew members of the ferry that capsized two days before with hundreds of children on board, a coastguard official said. The captain and most of his 28 crew managed to escape the ferry, and have been criticised for abandoning the ship when so many were still trapped on board. Tracking data from the Maritime Ministry showed the ferry made a sharp turn just before sending its first distress signal on Wednesday morning. Prosecutors said Friday that preliminary investigations showed that captain Lee Joon-Seok had handed the helm to his third officer before the ferry capsized.