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    Gov’t should be prepared for economic uncertainties: Tony Tan

    Dr Tony Tan said the back-up measures will Singapore a better ability to ride through the crisis if it happens. …

    Presidential candidate Dr Tony Tan on Friday emphasised the need for the government to start making contingency plans in preparation for the economic uncertainties that lie ahead.

    Pointing out in particular the financial situation in the United States and Europe and how it has affected the global markets, he said it could have an impact on Asia and also Singapore.

    Believing in the Boy Scouts motto "Be prepared", he said the back-up economic measures will give the nation a better ability to ride through the crisis, if it happens.

    Dr Tan was speaking at the NTUC financial and business services cluster National Day observance ceremony on Friday morning.

    "If the impact of the financial and economic contagion spreads to Singapore, as we have seen in 2008 and 2009, the consequences can be very sudden, very widespread and very destructive.

    "As I said, I think we should start making contingency plans. Be prepared, it's not too early so that if the crisis hits us, we have the plans ready," he said.

    Elaborating more about the plans, he said that the government needs to ensure that Singaporeans, especially those in the lower-income bracket are not severely hit with hardship.

    In addition, it must also ensure that the jobs of Singaporeans are protected and to provide assistance to companies so they can continue to employ locals.

    "This is vital because there's nothing worse than being unemployed. Not only the person is affected, the whole family is affected."

    When asked whether the government should create another Resilience Package as it did in the last recession, Dr Tan said the country might need different type of plans as the next crisis might be different in its duration and nature.

    Adding that Singapore's reserves are its "natural resources", he stressed that if elected, he will exercise the President's custodial responsibilities, which include protecting the reserves "with great care".

    Dr Tan noted that in good times, the dividends and interests earnings on the reserves can help the government boost its budget and implement growth strategies while in bad times, the reserves gave it the ability and confidence to swiftly stabilise the economy and save jobs.

    And this he underscored, is the vital difference between Singapore and countries such as Greece, saying that because they do not possess any reserves, they had resorted to borrowing from the financial markets.

    During these uncertain times, he also said that the country needs a President with "deep experience" in the financial world and the "right temperament" to work with all the parties to get the nation through the next crisis.

    Since the President also has a diplomatic role in business delegations, Dr Tan said he can create opportunities for Singaporeans and its businesses overseas.

    "That is why we need a President with a stature where other world leaders can respect so that it can open doors for Singapore businesses, businessman to go abroad and expand our economic space."

    Remaining optimistic, Dr Tan is convinced that the nation's best days lie ahead and said, "With the right leadership, co-operation between the government, employees and unions, we can face the future with confidence."

     

    467 comments

    • TRANSPARENCY  •  9 months ago
      All of us here are not going to vote T.T. But if he gets 30%, the balance 70%, will be divided among the other 3 Tans.

      Say TKL get 10%, TCH get 30%, and TJS get 30%, it is too risky. A lost by 100 votes still a lost (remember Mrs Chiam See Tong’s case?)

      So we have to UNITE, and give ALL our votes to ONE. I am not against TCB, but believe TJS is a better guy:

      TCB already 71 years old, how much and how long will he fight? Even he does, we the Singaporeans will be back to square one in 6 years’ time when the next election steps in. So why not EVERYONE pool in and vote for TJS, the man with BRAIN, TALENT, CONSCIENCE AND GUTS (see how courageous and tactful he tackled T.T. in the TOC discussion, I love it!)….besides TJS is getting more popular.

      Last night had a 2 hours discussion with a friend:
      Is it a ‘conspiracy’ to put 4 candidates so to break down the share of the non-T.T. supporters’ votes?
      Is TCB the real guy that the govt want? and that T.T. is just a “sand-bag”?
      I managed to convince her to drop TCB for TJS, and she is going to get her whole family to vote for TJS.

      I want to say sorry to TCB’s supporters. We have be very clear on our mission and objective. If we really want to kick T.T. out, we must not be confused. PLEASE, pool all our votes for TJS.

      BIG THANK YOU!
    • TRANSPARENCY  •  9 months ago
      The state media is having a field day harping on presidential candidate Tan Kin Lian’s investment failures during his stint as CEO of NTUC INCOME while censoring the shocking S$59 billion loss in reserves suffered by GIC in 2008 when Tony Tan was still its Deputy Chairman.

      In its special feature on the four presidential candidates last night, MediaCorp highlighted Mr Tan Kin Lian’s ‘bad’ investments in the now-defunct overseas resort chain Club Nuansa and Ciputra Mall in Jakarta. which led NTUC Income to write off some $30 million.

      The amount lost is ‘peanuts’ compared to the S$59 billion dollars reportedly lost by GIC during the global financial crisis in 2008.

      In January 2008, just when investors are shorting U.S. banks due to shaky fundamentals, Tony Tan, then Deputy Chairman of GIC poured in billions of dollars of taxpayers’ monies to take a stake in U.S. banking giant Citigroup and Swiss bank UBS.

      “In the case of UBS, they have a worldwide global wealth management business which is something not replicable by any bank. Citigroup has an international worldwide consumer business which is also unique…,” Tony Tan said in an interview with the Business Times.

      A few months later, the value of GIC’s shares in Citigroup and UBS crashed after both got mired in toxic debts during the 2008 global financial crisis. The news was censored by the Singapore media, but Wall Street Journal reported that GIC suffered a loss around 59 billion Singapore dollars (US$41.6 billion) in the fiscal year ended March, making it one of the worst years for the sovereign wealth fund since it was established in 1981.

      The state media should not hide this important information from the people. How can we trust Tony Tan to ‘guard’ our reserves when GIC lost so much money under his charge which is still unaccounted for to this very day?
    • 126sqn  •  9 months ago
      Can someone tell me what is Happening? When I studies Economic during the year of before 2000, the economic only happened every 10 years. Why after year 2001, the world met crisis after crisi, 2001 Terror attach in US, 2003 SAR, 2008 US Economic Crash, 2011 Europe Economic crash. What happened to the natural 10 years cycles. Can some expert explain?
    • Kev  •  9 months ago
      Right, Tony Tan is talking like the Prime Minister of Singapore!
    • winwin  •  9 months ago
      Dear T T,

      Do you know NTUC-ELDERCARE taken over Redhill / Senior Citizens' Home previously run
      by private-operator and the result end-up fees increased , GST implemented?Our former Block
      - Head Lim B.H also said they are going to help the poor Singaporeans and Elderly.This is what
      they are helping?You are from the same team previously,were you be like him helping Singaporeans the same way he did ? Please help something that Singaporean can feel and
      appreciated.Don't treat Singaporean ( KONG,GONG)If you can't help all this, how are you going
      to help Singaporeans over-see our reserves $$$$$$$$$$$$$
    • All for Improvement  •  9 months ago
      @Ah Chew

      Tks for your support and compliments. We are all united toghether in wanting to make Spore the place our forefathers used to enjoy living in. Divided we fall, United PAP will fall.
    • ricky l  •  9 months ago
      Published August 20, 2011


      Crash? You ain't seen nothing yet: analysts
      $21 billion wiped off Singapore market - but observers say stocks could fall another 20-30% before hitting bottom
      By VEN SREENIVASAN
      (Singapore)
      THE bloodletting which wiped some $21 billion off the Singapore market yesterday could be the beginning of a selldown which could lop another 30 per cent off the value of stocks here.
      That seems to be the view of some analysts and strategists following a rampage which dragged the Straits Times Index (STI) down 3.2 per cent or 91.33 points to 2,733.63 points yesterday - its lowest in 15 months.
      'What we are seeing is a perfect storm - a confluence of negative factors,' said Prabodh Agrawal, CEO of Singapore-based IIFL Institutional Equities.
      'Despite the selldowns we are now seeing, most blue chips and bellwethers here are still trading at just below their long- term price-book levels. During the last recession, they were trading at about two standard deviations below their long-term average. If we assume the same numbers and circumstances, stocks could fall another 20-30 per cent from current levels.'
      The selldowns here and across the Asia Pacific region came on the heels of similar overnight savaging of Wall Street and European markets following more disappointing US economic data and intensifying concerns about a potential global economic recession triggered by the European sovereign debt crisis and a sharp US economic slump.
      The dive across Asian bourses followed 3-5 per cent plunges in the US and Europe. And the selldown intensified as Wall Street futures remained deep in the red and Europe opened sharply lower again yesterday.
      In Tokyo the Nikkei 225 gave up 2.51 per cent to 8,719.24, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 3.08 per cent to 19,399.9 and Sydney's ASX200 dived 3.51 per cent to 4,101.90.
      In Singapore, with yesterday's plunge, some $117 billion has been lopped off the value of Singapore equities this month alone.
    • ricky l  •  9 months ago
      Published August 20, 2011
      Singapore most exposed Asean market: report
      Morgan Stanley also cuts Republic's GDP growth forecasts for this year and next
      By CARINE LEE
      SINGAPORE is likely to be the Asean market most significantly impacted by a slowdown in global growth, according to Morgan Stanley's Aug 18 Asean Strategy research report.

      FACING THE CHALLENGE
      Singapore appears to be the least defensive in Asean if external demand were to weaken significantly and Indonesia appears to be the most defensive, says Morgan Stanley in its Asean Strategy research report
      'The small and open nature of Singapore's economy means it is the most exposed to a global growth slowdown,' said Morgan Stanley. It cut Singapore's year-on-year GDP (gross domestic product) growth forecast from 6 per cent to 5.3 per cent for 2011, and from 6.5 per cent to 3.8 per cent for 2012.
      For Indonesia, the GDP growth forecast was cut from 6.5 per cent for both 2011 and 2012 to 6.3 per cent and 5.8 per cent respectively. The forecasts for Thailand were cut 4.8 per cent to 4.5 per cent for 2011 and 5.3 per cent to 4 per cent for 2012.
      Global GDP growth forecasts were also cut from 4.2 per cent to 3.9 per cent for 2011, and from 4.5 per cent to 3.8 per cent for 2012.
      'Developed market growth looks set to average only 1.5 per cent this year and next, down from 1.9 per cent and 2.4 per cent previously. . . Any further shocks to the developed world would also imply further downside risk to the growth outlook for the region,' reported Morgan Stanley.
      The trailing inflation problem may also see the developed world facing a 'deeper-than-expected slowdown in growth'.
      Singapore's domestic demand is closely linked to external demand and hence has been quite volatile. Singapore thus appears to be the least defensive in Asean if external demand were to weaken significantly and Indonesia appears to be the most defensive.
      The latest Asean equity strategy report added that within Asean, Singapore is the least preferred market. Morgan Stanley's new index targets for December 2001 imply a negative 5 per cent return for MSCI Singapore, a positive one per cent for MSCI Indonesia and a positive 2 per cent for MSCI Thailand. While the report sees limited upside for Asean, it continues to see Indonesia as the most preferred market and has upgraded Thailand to neutral from negative.
      'We maintain our relative positive outlook on Indonesia, upgrade Thailand to neutral and downgrade Singapore to negative,' said the report.
      If global growth remains intact, Singapore and Indonesia are seen as the most preferred markets. In Singapore's case, GDP growth is seen as 0.4 per cent above consensus estimates; 2012 earnings for MSCI Singapore could have an upside of 2 per cent versus consensus; and valuations may trade at a 0.5 per cent premium to the past two years' average.

      However, if there is a slowdown in global growth, with or without developed market recession, Singapore becomes the least preferred market.

      Without an accompanying developed market recession, Singapore's GDP growth could fall 1.4 per cent below consensus estimates. MSCI Singapore could have a downside of 8 per cent versus consensus, and trade at a 11.7 per cent discount to its valuation for the last two years due to a potential decline and volatility in 2012 earnings.

      With an accompanying developed market recession, the fall below consensus could be 3.7 per cent and MSCI Singapore could have a downside of 21 per cent versus consensus.
      Singapore investors are recommended to stay away from the high-beta sectors such as industrials and property, and look instead to Singapore's banks and telecoms as relatively defensive sectors.
      The latest Asean strategy report saw changes to the focus list. Removed were Singapore-listed companies leveraged to global growth including Keppel Corp, Keppel Land, Neptune Orient Lines, CDL Hospitality and OCBC. These five names were replaced by a defensive Ascendas Reit.
    • Gaga Lady  •  9 months ago
      "That is why we need a President with a stature where other world leaders can respect so that it can open doors for Singapore businesses, businessman to go abroad and expand our economic space."

      TT, with due respect you're talking out of your arse.

      Any officially elected president of Singapore representing Singapore will be welcomed all over the world by the government or private body and in fact I suspect they would prefer not to have to deal with PAP.

      Dont be so BIG HEADED. You're no more important than any of the candidate!

      In fact, TJS is more qualified capable and respectable than you so why wouldn't any world leaders accept and respect him.

      You dont scare people with your childish tactic!
    • Lim Pa  •  9 months ago
      segment of news I ignore, weather forecast. it doesn't take a genius to tell you you need to carry an umbrella.

      ka kon.
    • Jack  •  9 months ago
      believe we always

      未雨绸缪 already

      (CPF)
    • BB See  •  9 months ago
      The way they are doing , Singapore will be called SINK A PORE !

      So buy life jackets. Need not worry - Temasek have many investments in China , those who want to work as cooks, janitors or security guards can apply. Top jobs are reserved for FT only.

      When China invest in other countries, they bring their country man to work. I saw it in Africa. Even pushing wheel barrow is done by their comrades. So Temasek can do the same.

      Don't worry Singaporeans, Auntie Ho will give plenty of jobs to jobless SIngaporeans in Temasek. Salary is good - US$300 to US$500.00 - 12 hours x 6 days per week. Free lunch provided. But no union allowed. send your job appliction now ! IRON RICE BOWL !

      www.temasekjobsfor singaporeans.com !!

      Mr Tony Tan can support this because he was sitting in GIC. He was a cabinet member. So he can help in the job interviews.
    • peters55  •  9 months ago
      Tony tan should prepare for his day of reckoning....
    • peters55  •  9 months ago
      Tony tan should prepare for his day of reckoning....
    • daniel kim  •  9 months ago
      Tony Tan campaign to be president with such a statement that the government must be prepared for economic uncertainty is just a TOTAL WASTE OF PRESIDENT ROLE if that is all he is going to help Singaporeans achieve a TRUE DEMOCRACY!!! At least Tan Cheng Bok, an ex-PAP dares to ask LKY, LHL, PAP cabinet ministers to get out of Istana!
      Off course, Tan Jee Say must also be NOT AFRAID to challenge the interests of ALL SINGAPOREANS and not Opposition but if only the PAP had cared for the average working class Singaporeans AT ALL FOR THE LAST 20 YEARS with the pro-FT/FW, gerryymandering political constituencies boundaries and dramatically increasedthe cost of livings by making HDB, COE and education a CAPITALISTIC VENTURE!!!!
    • Chris  •  9 months ago
      Shut up and nobody will say you are stupid... TT
    • Damien L  •  9 months ago
      Chiak Liau Bee
    • gihh  •  9 months ago
      Yah, Yah…..
      What is TT trying to say???????
      What’s going on with GIC??????? Temasek Holding??????
      Where is our CPF!!!!!!!!!!!!
      The first step the government should do……..
      Cut all ministers’ pay by 90%!!!!!!!
      They all overpaid including the President!!!!
    • lim kopi  •  9 months ago
      govt should prepared for economic uncertainties : tTT

      TT , you think our govt is sleeping or what ? maybe those so call "elites" are waiting for your instructions ?
    • lim kopi  •  9 months ago
      TT , are you running for president or minister ?

      leave the economy problems to our cabinet or ministers .

      i don't understand why you always touch on the world economy ? you should participate in the GE 2011 and bocome finance minister instead of president !

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