Premier League permutations: How Chelsea, Manchester United and Newcastle can qualify for Europe today

Premier League permutations: How Chelsea, Manchester United and Newcastle can qualify for Europe today

The Premier League final day will see Chelsea, Newcastle and Manchester United battle it out to qualify for Europe.

Tottenham are guaranteed a top-six finish and either Chelsea or Newcastle will join them in the Europa League next season - depending on the outcome of the FA Cup final.

Man Utd enter today’s games in eighth and only able to reach the Europa Conference League via the league route, partly due to their inferior goal difference, with next weekend’s trip to Wembley determining if they can elevate themselves to Europe’s second-tier competition.

So it is all to play for and here we run you through the permutations for those sides still unsure whether they will be playing on Thursday nights in 2024-25.

How Chelsea can qualify for Europe

A brilliant run of form that has seen Chelsea win their last four games in a row has catapulted them up the table.

After being sat in 11th as recently as March, Chelsea have now overtaken both Newcastle and Manchester United and are suddenly favourites to finish in sixth.

If Chelsea win and Tottenham lose at Sheffield United, Chelsea will finish fifth and Tottenham sixth, confirming a Europa League spot for Chelsea.

They need to get at least a point at home against Bournemouth to confirm a sixth-place finish - which would also be enough for the Europa League if Manchester United don’t win the FA Cup.

If they lose and Newcastle win at Brentford, Newcastle will finish sixth due to their superior goal difference, and Chelsea will finish seventh. Chelsea will then have to rely on Manchester City winning the FA Cup to make the Conference League.

Chelsea are on the cusp of Europe (Chelsea FC via Getty Images)
Chelsea are on the cusp of Europe (Chelsea FC via Getty Images)

How Newcastle can qualify for Europe

Newcastle have also rebounded from early-season struggles to put themselves firmly in contention for Europe.

After languishing in 10th after losing to Chelsea on March 11, they’ve won five out of their last nine games, although Wednesday night's 3-2 loss to Manchester United means they still need to get a result on the final day.

Newcastle have to better Man Utd’s result and hope that either Chelsea lose to Bournemouth or Manchester City win the FA Cup final.

If Chelsea lose and they win, they’ll finish in sixth and be guaranteed a spot in either the Europa League or the Conference League.

Their superior goal difference over Man Utd means they can better their result, finish in seventh and make the Conference League - but only if City win the cup.

If Newcastle fail to better the Red Devils’ result, they’ll finish in eighth and outside of the European qualification spots no matter what happens at Wembley.

How Man Utd can qualify for Europe

After hovering around sixth place all season, a poor end to the season has seen Manchester United in danger of dropping out of Europe entirely.

Wednesday night’s win against Newcastle has kept them in contention for seventh, although their poor goal difference means they’ll likely have to rely on winning the FA Cup to ensure European qualification.

If Manchester United struggle away at Brighton and fail to better Newcastle’s result, they’ll finish in eighth, outside the European qualification spots. They’ll then have to win the FA Cup final to qualify for the Europa League.

If they manage to overtake Newcastle, they’ll be guaranteed a European spot regardless of what happens in the FA Cup final. Should they finish seventh but lose the FA Cup final, they will qualify for the Conference League.

Their poor goal difference compared to Chelsea means a 16-goal swing will have to occur if they are to somehow snatch sixth place.