Climate change made Brazil floods more likely: experts

STORY: Scientists say climate change doubled the likelihood of the recent flooding in southern Brazil, with the El Nino phenomenon also intensifying the heavy rains.

Authorities called it the worst disaster in the region's history, after storms and floods hit the southern state of Rio Grande do Sul last month, killing more than 170 people and displacing nearly 580,000.

Experts from the World Weather Attribution group said the heavy rainfall in southern Brazil was an 'extremely rare' event and would have been even less likely without fossil fuel-driven climate change.

Lincoln Alves is with Brazil's National Institute for Space Research:

“These discoveries are coherent with what we have been observing, a weather with more heat.”

El Nino, which raises temperatures globally and increases rainfall and flood risk in parts of the Americas, also contributed to the recent disaster, by making it more likely and the rains more intense.

Regina Rodrigues is another member of the research team:

“So, this pattern is consistent with the typical El Nino influence over South America. However, these studies have shown that climate change will intensify this pattern. As a consequence, the high-pressure center over central Brazil is becoming larger and more persistent, pushing warmer air that holds more moisture for the south.”

Regina stressed the importance of maintaining flood infrastructure and urban planning to reduce the impact of 'such extreme events'.

The researchers say deforestation and Brazil's rapid urbanization were other factors, with both amplifying the impact of the floods.