‘Electoral extinction’: Fresh weekend polling blow to Sunak as polls show wider lead for Labour

Maryam Zakir-Hussain
·3-min read

The general election campaign has seen another damaging week for Rishi Sunak as Labour is racing ahead in the latest weekend polls.

The latest voting intention from Savanta for the Sunday Telegraph shows Labour take a 25-point lead on the Conservative Party- with Sir Keir Starmer’s party on 46 per cent of the vote, and the Conservatives on 21 per cent.

This is the largest gap in a Savanta poll since the end of Liz Truss’ premiership, and the lowest-ever vote share for the Tories under Rishi Sunak.

Labour is on course for a 262-seat majority, the data suggests.

The analysis and modelling based on more than 40,000 surveys indicate Labour is ahead in 456 seats, with the Tories taking just 72.

Labour is racing ahead according to the latest weekend polls (PA Wire)
Labour is racing ahead according to the latest weekend polls (PA Wire)

The last time the Tories vote share was this low was in May 2019, when Theresa May announced her resignation as party leader.

Chris Hopkins, political research director at Savanta said the polling shows this election could be “nothing short of electoral extinction for the Conservative Party”.

He added: “The hopes of Conservative candidates are being shot to pieces by poll after poll showing the Conservative Party in increasingly dire straits – and we’re only halfway through the campaign.”

Rishi Sunak has suffered another damaging week in the campaign trails (PA Wire)
Rishi Sunak has suffered another damaging week in the campaign trails (PA Wire)

“There’s a real sense that things could still get worse for the Conservatives, and with postal votes about to drop through millions of letterboxes, time is already close to running out for Rishi Sunak.”

The party chasing the heels of the PM, Reform UK has recorded their highest vote share in a Savanta poll since party’s official creation in January 2021 with 13 per cent of the vote.

The Liberal Democrats also increased their share by two-points since Savanta’s last poll.

Labour Party leader Sir Keir Starmer launched his party’s manifesto this week (PA Wire)
Labour Party leader Sir Keir Starmer launched his party’s manifesto this week (PA Wire)

A poll by Opinium also records a heavy blow for Mr Sunak, with Labour leads 17 points ahead, taking 40 per cent of the vote while the Tories have 23 per cent.

In terms of who would make the better prime minister, Sir Keir has retained a 14-point lead over Mr Sunak with the Labour leader at 33 per cent and the PM at 19 per cent- but “neither” comes out as top choice at 38 per cent.

The weekend’s polls come after a tumultuous week on the campaign trail, which saw Sir Keir beat Mr Sunak in their second live TV debate on Wednesday night. Both leaders were given a real grilling by Beth Rigby on Sky’s Battle for Number 10, and took a number of tough questions from the audience in Grimsby.

A YouGov survey after the debate had Sir Keir the easy winner on 64 per cent, with the prime minister trailing on 36 per cent.

This week, Labour launched its manifesto which focused on economic growth and making Labour the “party of wealth creation”. As part of this plan, he revealed that he intends to raise £8.6billion in new taxes.

  • Up next
  • Up next
  • Up next
  • Up next

Latest stories

  • France is about to bring the EU to the brink of collapse

    It is a terrifying showdown, an epic moment of truth that threatens to blow up the EU, trigger another Eurozone crisis and, just three days into his prime ministership, throw Sir Keir Starmer’s immigration and trade plans into disarray. In two weeks’ time, France will have either elected the most radical Right-wing populist government ever to control a nuclear power, opted for a rabidly anti-capitalist, anti-Western, far-Left coalition, or proved itself to be entirely ungovernable.

  • Philippine VP Duterte exits Marcos cabinet as their alliance crumbles

    MANILA (Reuters) -Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte resigned on Wednesday from the cabinet of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and another key post, not a surprise move given that her alliance with Marcos had long been expected to collapse. Marcos has accepted Duterte's resignation from the posts of education minister and vice chair of an anti-insurgency task force, Presidential Communications Secretary Cheloy Garafil said in a statement, adding that no reasons were given by her for stepping down. Duterte, who will remain vice president, said in a press conference that her "resignation is not because of weakness but because of true concern for teachers and the youth."

  • Putin and Kim Jong-un exchange gifts including luxury limousine and hunting dogs

    Putin showers Kim with gifts after inking mutual defence pact

  • Confused Trump Forgets Names Again And Again And Again In Brutal Supercut Video

    The former president's cognition is under the microscope after a series of alarming reports.

  • Raped by Russian soldiers, Ukraine women speak out to erase stigma

    When invading Russian troops advanced towards Kyiv and the first explosions rang out in the suburbs, Daria Zymenko took refuge in Gavronshchyna, her parents' village near the Ukrainian capital.- Thousands of victims - Since Russia invaded in February 2022, Ukrainian authorities say they have documented over 300 cases of sexual violence perpetrated by the Russian troops.

  • Tragic suicide leaves Israel at breaking point

    The first time Eliran Mizrahi was injured in Gaza, he refused to leave the battlefield. The reservist wanted to continue defending his country and the search for the missing hostages.

  • Satellite images capture Russia's Black Sea Fleet running from its base in Crimea as Ukraine hit it with missiles and exploding drones

    Ukraine has waged a highly effective asymmetric-warfare campaign against the Black Sea Fleet, destroying and damaging a number of Russian warships.

  • Hezbollah leader threatens Cyprus as tensions with Israel ramp up

    Threat comes just a day after Israel warned the powerful Lebanese militant group that the prospect of “all-out war” was “getting very close.”

  • Malaysian leader Anwar says China a 'true friend' and not to be feared as Premier Li ends visit

    Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim on Thursday rejected the notion that China's dominance is to be feared, calling China a “true friend” at the end of Premier Li Qiang's visit to mark 50 years of diplomatic ties between their countries. While the leaders raised some contentious bilateral issues, Anwar said they discussed them as “equal partners, as trusted friends.” Don’t let China abuse its privilege and extort from the country.

  • Why Ukraine’s most dangerous moment may have passed - Ukraine: The Latest, Podcast

    Today, we bring you the news from Ukraine, continuing analysing Vladimir Putin’s state visit to North Korea and we talk to Security Analyst Jimmy Rushton in Kyiv on the situation on the front line and Ukrainian strategy for the year ahead.

  • Ukraine got the go-ahead to hit Russia with F-16s, but doing so could be a waste of a good jet

    Denmark said Ukraine can use its F-16s to hit military targets in Russia — something experts said would likely make the few jets too vulnerable.

  • Ukraine can't hit everything it wants in Russia with US-made ATACMs, so it's making do with a homemade option

    The US has restricted Ukraine from using American-made MGM-140 Army Tactical Missile Systems in Russian territory.

  • UK and US at loggerheads over Ukraine joining Nato

    The UK and US are at loggerheads over Ukraine’s relationship with Nato, after American officials said its path to membership should not be described as “irreversible”, it has been reported.

  • Girl, 12, gang-raped and called ‘dirty Jew’ by teenage boys in Paris suburb

    A 12-year-old Jewish girl was gang-raped by child attackers who taunted her with anti-Semitic slurs in a case that has shocked France.

  • Kaitlan Collins 'Can't Believe' She Has To Fact-Check Trump On Biden Accusation

    The CNN anchor appeared to reach her fill of having to correct the former president.

  • Beijing's words must match actions in disputed waters, Philippines says

    STORY: :: Armed Forces of the Philippines :: June 17, 2024This video released by the Philippines shows Chinese Coast Guard vessels ramming rigid hull inflatable boats of the Philippine Navy in the South China Sea.The military says a navy sailor suffered a serious injury as a result, during a resupply mission on Monday.It called the incident an "intentional high-speed ramming."On Wednesday the Philippine foreign ministry denounced the moves as "illegal and aggressive" - while urging China to avoid actions that endanger sailors and vessels in the disputed waters.Philippine military officials said China’s Coast Guard personnel were carrying knives and spears, looted firearms and “deliberately punctured” Philippine boats involved in the mission to resupply its troops stationed on the Second Thomas Shoal. China's Coast Guard disputed the statement. It says the Philippine vessel deliberately and dangerously approached a Chinese ship, forcing it to take control measures. A spokesperson for China’s foreign ministry said the measures were aimed at stopping illegal fishing and that no direct measures were taken against Philippine personnel. China claims almost the entire South China Sea, including the Second Thomas Shoal. An international tribunal dismissed China’s expansive claims in 2016, but the country has repeatedly said Philippine vessels illegally intrude into the waters around disputed shoals.

  • Most Japan firms see no need to follow the U.S. with tariffs on China: Reuters poll

    Most Japanese companies see no need for their government to follow the U.S. in raising tariffs on Chinese imports, saying excessive production capacity in China's industrial sector does not affect them, a Reuters survey showed on Thursday. U.S. President Joe Biden last month unveiled steep tariff increases on an array of Chinese goods including electric vehicles, batteries and semiconductors, criticising Beijing for generous subsidies and policies that he said help flood global markets with cheap goods. The European Union has also slapped hefty duties on EV imports and the Group of Seven major economies, which includes Japan, last week echoed concerns about what they called harmful non-market practices by China.

  • Trump's Attempt To Mock Biden's Cognition Backfires When He Gets The Term Wrong

    OOPS! The former president botched a key phrase as he tried to attack his rival.

  • Russia's Vladimir Putin arrives at Hanoi Airport for Vietnam state visit

    Russian President Vladimir Putin arrived in Vietnam early on Thursday. During the state visit Putin is scheduled to meet with Vietnam’s most powerful politician, Communist Party General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong, and new President To Lam, as the Russian leader seeks to strengthen ties with a longtime partner. (AP video shot by: Hau Dinh)

  • Russia obliterates front-line Ukraine towns by retrofitting bombs and expanding its air base network

    The first shock wave shattered aisles stacked almost to the ceiling with home improvement products. The next Russian bomb streaked down like a comet seconds later, unleashing flames that left the megastore an ashen shell. A third bomb failed to detonate when it landed behind the Epicenter shopping complex in Kharkiv.